Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thatcham Town win with a probability of 63.53%. A win for Christchurch had a probability of 18.76% and a draw had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thatcham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Christchurch win was 1-2 (4.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Thatcham Town would win this match.