Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aylesbury United win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Thame had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aylesbury United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Thame win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.27) 
