Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penrith win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Pickering Town CFC had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penrith win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Pickering Town CFC win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penrith would win this match.