Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bashley win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Paulton Rovers had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bashley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Paulton Rovers win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.