Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amersham Town win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Oldland Abbotonians had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amersham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.47%) and 2-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Oldland Abbotonians win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amersham Town would win this match.