Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a London Lions win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Arlesey Town had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a London Lions win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.32%). The likeliest Arlesey Town win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that London Lions would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.2) 
