MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 20:40:38| >> :120:7705:7705:
Leeds logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
0 - 2
Millwall


Guilavogui (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Azeez (30', 55')
Tanganga (86'), De Norre (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 QPR
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Millwall

A fiery North-South battle could be on the cards this weekend between two in-form teams who will back themselves to reach the fifth round. Leeds will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, though, and should find a way to get the better of the Lions, even if Farke is to make multiple changes to his lineup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 74.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 8.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.27%) and 3-0 (11.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
74.44% (-0.217 -0.22) 17.33% (0.136 0.14) 8.22% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 37.83% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (-0.303 -0.3)48.98% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (-0.277 -0.28)71.06% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.43% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)11.56% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.49% (-0.311 -0.31)36.51% (0.31 0.31)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.84%89.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 74.43%
    Millwall 8.22%
    Draw 17.33%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 15.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.58% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 74.43%
1-1 @ 7.97% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 17.33%
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 8.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
86.6%
Draw
11.0%
Millwall
2.4%
82
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
1-0
Leeds
Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')

Firpo (87')
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3313101052401249
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Everton34814123441-738
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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