Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham YMCA win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Newhaven had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham YMCA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newhaven win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham YMCA would win this match.
0.27) 
-0.5) 
