FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Memorial Playing Fields
Hartley Wintney3 - 0Downton
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Hartley Wintney and Downton.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartley Wintney win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Downton had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartley Wintney win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.68%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Downton win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartley Wintney would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartley Wintney | Draw | Downton |
39.75% ( 0.38) | 22.56% ( 0.21) | 37.68% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
