Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lichfield City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Gresley had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lichfield City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Gresley win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
-1.46) 
1.74) 
