Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Garforth Town win with a probability of 69.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Northallerton Town had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Garforth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Northallerton Town win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Garforth Town would win this match.