Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deal Town win with a probability of 61.81%. A win for Roffey had a probability of 19.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deal Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Roffey win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deal Town would win this match.