Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brocton win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Tividale had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brocton win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.21%) and 3-2 (4.82%). The likeliest Tividale win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brocton would win this match.