Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Broadbridge Heath win with a probability of 59.04%. A win for Horley Town had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Broadbridge Heath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Horley Town win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Broadbridge Heath in this match.