Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascot United win with a probability of 59.11%. A win for Milton United had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascot United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Milton United win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascot United would win this match.