MX23RW : Monday, October 7 08:33:38| >> :60:688:688:
Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 10, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
Costa Rica national football team

Guatemala
0 - 0
Costa Rica


Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (62')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guatemala and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 3-1 Martinique
Friday, September 6 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guadeloupe
Friday, September 6 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Guatemala 1-1 Costa Rica

Both sides are coming off solid performances on matchday one, but given the Costa Ricans' struggles away from home at this tournament and the Guatemalans' lack of consistency, we are projecting a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawCosta Rica
67.51% (9.738 9.74) 20.35% (-3.637 -3.64) 12.14% (-6.097 -6.1)
Both teams to score 42.69% (-3.248 -3.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36% (3.301 3.3)50.64% (-3.299 -3.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (2.842 2.84)72.55% (-2.841 -2.84)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93% (4.423 4.42)14.07% (-4.422 -4.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.34% (8.041 8.04)41.66% (-8.04 -8.04)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.68% (-6.679 -6.68)50.32% (6.681 6.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.12% (-5.054 -5.05)84.88% (5.057 5.06)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 67.5%
    Costa Rica 12.14%
    Draw 20.35%
GuatemalaDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 13.88% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 13.61% (2.12 2.12)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-0 @ 8.9% (2.433 2.43)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.751 0.75)
4-0 @ 4.37% (1.636 1.64)
4-1 @ 3% (0.735 0.74)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.791 0.79)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.412 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 67.5%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-1.755 -1.76)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.99 -0.99)
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.741 -0.74)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.35%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-1.829 -1.83)
1-2 @ 3.28% (-1.408 -1.41)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-1.105 -1.11)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 12.14%

How you voted: Guatemala vs Costa Rica

Guatemala
41.2%
Draw
29.4%
Costa Rica
29.4%
34
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 4am
Friendlies 1
Costa Rica
0-1
Guatemala

Nunez (4')
Mejia (6')
Samayoa (53'), Ardon (59')
Mar 23, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Guatemala
1-0
Costa Rica
Cincotta (31')
Carlos Pinto (34'), Saravia (50')

Waston (42'), Cruz (51')
rhs 2.0
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