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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Millwall logo

Plymouth
5 - 1
Millwall

Bryan (6' og.), Hardie (10' pen., 56'), Bundu (53'), Katic (86')
Randell (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bryan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Millwall

After the emotion of victory over Liverpool on Sunday afternoon, Plymouth could find it difficult to successfully return to the reality of a Championship relegation battle on Wednesday night. That being said, the Pilgrims are no longer a pushover at Home Park under Muslic and should be good enough to force a share of the spoils with Millwall. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
24% (-0.709 -0.71) 25.24% (-0.735 -0.73) 50.76% (1.441 1.44)
Both teams to score 50.1% (1.43 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (2.23 2.23)52.48% (-2.235 -2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (1.883 1.88)74.15% (-1.886 -1.89)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (0.593 0.59)36.82% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (0.589 0.59)73.61% (-0.593 -0.59)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (1.53 1.53)20.69% (-1.533 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (2.357 2.36)53.28% (-2.362 -2.36)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 24%
    Millwall 50.75%
    Draw 25.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.564 -0.56)
2-1 @ 5.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 24%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.698 -0.7)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-2 @ 9.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.326 0.33)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.201 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.96% (0.183 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.212 0.21)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.75%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Millwall

Plymouth Argyle
39.5%
Draw
16.3%
Millwall
44.2%
43
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
1-0
Plymouth
Esse (13')
Honeyman (8'), Azeez (45+1'), Saville (59'), Cooper (76'), Bryan (85')

Szucs (63')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry42189155954563
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City421112194150-945
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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