MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 11:01:11| >> :600:541674:541674:
Togo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Kegue
Liberia national football team

Togo
1 - 1
Liberia

Denkey (79')
Dakonam (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
W (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Togo and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Togo
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Togo 1-0 Liberia

Liberia have put together a fine run of results since the turn of the year and will fancy their chances against Togo who have failed to win their last four competitive matches. However, the Sparrow Hawks' home advantage gives them a slight upper hand here and we are tipping them to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
TogoDrawLiberia
49.25% (0.213 0.21) 27.83% (-0.143 -0.14) 22.92% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 42.05% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.6% (0.399 0.4)62.4% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.97% (0.29 0.29)82.03% (-0.292 -0.29)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.286 0.29)25.6% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.388 0.39)60.49% (-0.39 -0.39)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (0.163 0.16)43.48% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.137 0.14)79.69% (-0.139 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Togo 49.24%
    Liberia 22.92%
    Draw 27.83%
TogoDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 15.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: Togo vs Liberia

Togo
38.1%
Draw
28.6%
Liberia
33.3%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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