MX23RW : Monday, November 4 19:07:26| >> :600:389058:389058:
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
Libya national football team

Nigeria
1 - 0
Libya

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almusrat (45+1'), Al Woheshi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 2-1 Libya
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Nigeria 2-0 Libya

Nigeria appear to have found their footing under interim manager Eguaveon, which is a concerning development for most opponents in Africa, as the Super Eagles possess a wealth of talent in their ranks – we anticipate a victory for the hosts against a Libya side lacking confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.79%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
NigeriaDrawLibya
57.68% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 26.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 16.1% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 36.9% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)83.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.016000000000005 0.02)22.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.62% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)52.38% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.75% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)86.25% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 57.67%
    Libya 16.1%
    Draw 26.21%
NigeriaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 17.58% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 57.67%
0-0 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 16.1%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Libya

Nigeria
93.5%
Draw
6.5%
Libya
0.0%
46
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Libya
0-1
Nigeria

Al Maghasi (32'), Msoud (90')
Faleye (79')
Orji (30'), Solomon (76')
rhs 2.0
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