Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 4pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Eq Guinea2 - 2Togo
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 2-0 Eq Guinea
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Liberia
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Togo
Equatorial Guinea have won only one of their last four matches across all competitions, highlighting their ongoing struggles since the AFCON. Given Togo's historical dominance in this fixture and their previous away win against the hosts, we believe they are capable of securing a draw in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Togo |
30.18% ( 0.38) | 29.68% ( -0.09) | 40.13% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
