We said: Burkina Faso 1-2 Senegal
The last three meetings between Burkina Faso and Senegal have seen a combined 10 goals scored, and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Stade du 26 Mars on Thursday.
Burkina Faso narrowly avoided defeat when the two nations met in September, and while they have been tough to crack in the qualifiers, Senegal's quality should see them to all three points in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
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